Caulfield and Morphettville 24/02/2018

 Not A Single Doubt / Fastnet Rock / Hard Spun

Morphetville

Race 1 Four horse raffle! The outsider Gytrash is a chance even with a ordinary jockey by LopeDe Vega out of a Fastnet Rock mare.
Race 2 The favourite looks hard to beat here ! Bowditch riding Incomparable he is by I Am Invincible out of a Commands mare ! Rough chance first starter Wokit.
Race 3 No betting race !
Race 4 Tough race but leaning towards number 7 Calisto Girl with Pannel riding. The Hussonet mare looks suited. She is out of an Encosta mare. Dont forget the Good Journeys they are flying at the moment and horse 6 Silent Ice could run a strong race. Looks a good place bet. Infinity Queen has a habit of running second at this track.
Race 5 Not keen on this race but 1 Mihany, does look a good winning chance and 4 Strategic Demand also a chance.
Race 6 Over 1400m, I'm leaning towards the 2 El Desperado a Rebel Raider gelding out of  a Blevic mare. Fresh could be his go as all the Scenic breed go well fresh.
Race 7 I know the favourite Blue Tycoon looks hard to beat but Counter Spin with Raquel Clarke real good value at 10/1 . The Hard Spuns are such gutsy horses when right and this gelding looks placed well. Also a rough chance to Niccoco.
Race 8 Oamaru Owl should win this over the 1000m. He is by Oamaru Force out of an Encosta mare. Number 5 Call Me Curtis for second always runs second.
Race 9 The last looks a tough race but I cant see why Lord Topper another Hussonet cant win again although Roselli Sting by Casino Prince out of a General Nedyim mare with Chris Caserta riding looks well placed. Chance to Galaxy Gazer.

    Best of the Day Oamaru Owl 

Value Counter Spin

Feeling horse Roselli Sting

Caulfield

Race 1 Tough Race maybe Bedford a track distance specialist

Race 2 Amanito for me just have a feeling the Pierro gelding out of a Fastnet Rock mare maybe something out of the box. The So You Think horse Mr So And So a real danger just worried about the barrier. While Wetakemanhattan has potential and Jordan Childs riding.

Race 3 Even race but going with Overshare by I am Invincible.

Race 4 The pick here is Summer Sham by Not A Single Doubt . He can throw some good stock with Miss Wahoo a strong chance as well.

Race 5 Silent Sedition will be hard to beat but I have a funny feeling here about Wheal Leisure loves it fresh, Yendal riding by Artie Schiller out of a Encosta mare. Also a good chance to Samovare. Maybe a good trifecta here! 

Race 6 Really tough race Mighty Boss by Not A Single Doubt will be hard to beat but there are good chances to Brave Smash and Mr Sneaky. Just unsure if Mr Sneaky being by High Chapparal has the turn of foot but I know he is a good horse.

Race 7 The more I look at the Diamond the more i like the Fastnet Rock colt, Long Leaf . Have a really good feeling, he could be special. Kinky Boom by Spirit of Boom a chance.

Race 8 Russian Revolution a strong chance of winning this but just remember, he either wins or loses never runs a place. Fuhryk and Catchy, also have strong claims.

Race 9 Gailo Chop or Hartnell a hard decision probably leaning Gailo Chops way but keep an eye on Lord Fandango at good odds . Maybe even take a quinella with him and the other two. 

Best at Caulfield  Long Leaf

Best Value Amanito

Feeling Horse Wheal Leisure

 Yarra Valley

Race 1 Eight Times a Lady a Hard Spun filly up to the perfect distance.

Race 4 Horses 5 and 7 look strong chances Annanicolesnitz by Snitzel and Effectuate by Reward For Effort

Race 5 Good place bet Waterford Sound ridden by Jarrod Fry.

Race 7 The Written Tycoon, Smooth Hussler with Lord Mornington into the places.  

Benalla 23/02/2018 Pierro and Redoutes Choice

Our first race at Benalla is a no bet race. Race 2 1200m not confident but the favourite Snipes looks hard to beat . Lonrho out of a Commands mare Luke Currie to ride.
Race 3 looks another tough maiden going with the Stockdales and Turf Diva.
Race 4 is an interesting race with Hayes /Dabernig having three chances but I'm going to lean towards Jeddah Aheadah he is by Piero out of a Lion Hunter mare and looks very honest. Today maybe his day. Savvy Ken also a good chance as 1600m is a spot on distance for the Savabeels but drawn wide a concern. The All American gelding Free For All best of the Hayes horses.
Race 5 Another difficult race, the 3 chances i can see are the Piero horse, Kapow also Royal Zephyr by Commands and a place chance to Fire and Brimstone by Fastnet Rock.
In Race 6 I think Here Comes Lenni can get home. It has plenty of race experience is fresh and being out of a Centaine mare this is a plus as the Tavistocks do require a little further. Regan Bayliss to ride. A big watch on Hibernator from the Hayes/Dabernig yard first up.
Race 7 is our special for the day Regal Embrace from the Hayes camp a beautifully bred gelding by Redoutes Choice out of the Encosta mare Love and Kisses. I just feel with fitness, race experience he could be ready to fire. There is also an interesting Ocean Park filly Rip Girl to be ridden by Damien Thornton at value could run the place.
A watch race in the eigth. The Redoutes Choice horse Charlton too short probably runs second and Chance Taken a Hard Spun back in distance could win it but hasnt got a great winning record.
In the ninth race a bit of a toss up between Broo Boss a Street Boss gelding out of a Commands mare or Groegans Hero a More Than Ready out of an Encosta mare. Just leaning towards the later because of his victory last start may have turned a corner and I'm starting to notice with the More Than Ready they can put a few together.
In the last Invincible Rock looks the winner but is very short. Fastnet Rock gelding looks to have some promise. I Love this Lady could be one to place being fresh and is good value.

Special for the Day Regal Embrace

Best Value Jeddah Aheadah 

Feeling Horse of the Day Kapow just a bit worried about the barrier .

Penola in South Australia A Good Journey day

Race 2 horse 7 Amberdi chance but short.
Race 3 Horse 3 Dabay a Reward or Effort gelding
Race4 Horse 3 Good value Ready's Image gelding Visual Image good track and distance record and fresh record .
Race 5 Hard to seperate numbers 1,4,5 The Good Journey gelding Rhythmic just a head of 4 and then 5.
Race 6 Number 1 Redeeka Declan Bates to ride !
Race 7 Horse 3 Connemarra Rose another Good Journey will go close getting a good price at 7 dollars.
         At Canberra today keep an eye on the Reward For Effort in the last ridden by Carly Frater Hill Patrika Belle 30/1

Warrnambool 22/02/2018 High Chapparral and Written Tycoon Day

  In the first race over 2000m there is a High Chapparal recently gelded four year old trained by Darren Weir ridden by John Allen looks the winner but is short at even money. Dean Yendal is riding the second favourite an honest type by Skilled. Be wary ! Could be a race to take a few trifectas around the two of them.
    The second race is not much of a race the number one Salt Lake Stryker is by Captain Gerard and the 1100m is perfect but not to fussed on the jockey. Barenya is a 3yo filly by Reward For Effort who is alot more experienced now. Lucinda Doodt to ride could be value at 20/1.
     The third, Hot Shot Harry looks an up and coming Written Tycoon with 2 seconds from 3 starts .Today may be the day with D. Moor to ride. Being freshened is a plus as the breed do well fresh. The two Bel Esprits look chances with Evolutionist fit and coming back to 1300m may place. Honey Esprit is a chance.
     In Rce 4, we find a very open 1400m race with a watch on the number 8, Cunning Moves, he is a Foxwedge out of a Stravinsky mare, so soft track should suit, up to 1400m and blinkers on. The number 11 Quattro Porte is a So You Think so rise in distance should suit and has experience, chance.
      Race 5 over 2350m looks a race that should suit the High Chapparral horse Hi Rolla with Linda Meech to ride. The rise in distance and soft track all positives only query is his average record but may be the day he turns the corner.
      Race 6 is a watch race for me . Horses 6 and 7 are both Resets and look suited with the younger gelding Speed Stinger only having his 6th start and already has two wins so could be an up and comer.
    In race 7 over 1300m looks a even field but have decided to go with the Black Mosheen form . He is out of a Second Empire mare so soft track should help and has John Allen riding. the horse that ran right beside him last start could be value. Galileos Journey led a pulled a bit last start. He only has one win from 10 starts but i just have a feeling he might be going to start putting it together which is often the case with Good Journey horses but once they hit form are very consistent. To be ridden by Nikita Beriman for her father another interesting move.  Oh dont forget in multiples December always places. 
     Race 8 is a good quality field and i couldnt seperate the numbers 3,9,15 all look very promising. Just leaning towards the first up, Thorntons mare by Written Tycoon, Written Attraction on value. Snitch could be a real good horse but is short at 2/1, to be ridden by Dean Yendal and by Lope De Vega both Jockey and stable have had success with this breed before. The 15 Ruby's Reward is awesomely bred being by Reward For Effort out of a Fastnet Rock mare just a little concerned with jockey. Will she settle this time in a big field unsure as the breed have a tendency to get fired up.
               Best of the Day -- Hot Shot Harry in race 3. Hi Rolla best value .

Written Attraction and Hi Energy should go well.

Feeling horse of the day Galileos Journey