Friday, February 23, 2018

Caulfield and Morphettville 24/02/2018

 Not A Single Doubt / Fastnet Rock / Hard Spun

Morphetville

Race 1 Four horse raffle! The outsider Gytrash is a chance even with a ordinary jockey by LopeDe Vega out of a Fastnet Rock mare.
Race 2 The favourite looks hard to beat here ! Bowditch riding Incomparable he is by I Am Invincible out of a Commands mare ! Rough chance first starter Wokit.
Race 3 No betting race !
Race 4 Tough race but leaning towards number 7 Calisto Girl with Pannel riding. The Hussonet mare looks suited. She is out of an Encosta mare. Dont forget the Good Journeys they are flying at the moment and horse 6 Silent Ice could run a strong race. Looks a good place bet. Infinity Queen has a habit of running second at this track.
Race 5 Not keen on this race but 1 Mihany, does look a good winning chance and 4 Strategic Demand also a chance.
Race 6 Over 1400m, I'm leaning towards the 2 El Desperado a Rebel Raider gelding out of  a Blevic mare. Fresh could be his go as all the Scenic breed go well fresh.
Race 7 I know the favourite Blue Tycoon looks hard to beat but Counter Spin with Raquel Clarke real good value at 10/1 . The Hard Spuns are such gutsy horses when right and this gelding looks placed well. Also a rough chance to Niccoco.
Race 8 Oamaru Owl should win this over the 1000m. He is by Oamaru Force out of an Encosta mare. Number 5 Call Me Curtis for second always runs second.
Race 9 The last looks a tough race but I cant see why Lord Topper another Hussonet cant win again although Roselli Sting by Casino Prince out of a General Nedyim mare with Chris Caserta riding looks well placed. Chance to Galaxy Gazer.
    Best of the Day Oamaru Owl 
Value Counter Spin
Feeling horse Roselli Sting

Caulfield
Race 1 Tough Race maybe Bedford a track distance specialist
Race 2 Amanito for me just have a feeling the Pierro gelding out of a Fastnet Rock mare maybe something out of the box. The So You Think horse Mr So And So a real danger just worried about the barrier. While Wetakemanhattan has potential and Jordan Childs riding.
Race 3 Even race but going with Overshare by I am Invincible.
Race 4 The pick here is Summer Sham by Not A Single Doubt . He can throw some good stock with Miss Wahoo a strong chance as well.
Race 5 Silent Sedition will be hard to beat but I have a funny feeling here about Wheal Leisure loves it fresh, Yendal riding by Artie Schiller out of a Encosta mare. Also a good chance to Samovare. Maybe a good trifecta here! 
Race 6 Really tough race Mighty Boss by Not A Single Doubt will be hard to beat but there are good chances to Brave Smash and Mr Sneaky. Just unsure if Mr Sneaky being by High Chapparal has the turn of foot but I know he is a good horse.
Race 7 The more I look at the Diamond the more i like the Fastnet Rock colt, Long Leaf . Have a really good feeling, he could be special. Kinky Boom by Spirit of Boom a chance.
Race 8 Russian Revolution a strong chance of winning this but just remember, he either wins or loses never runs a place. Fuhryk and Catchy, also have strong claims.
Race 9 Gailo Chop or Hartnell a hard decision probably leaning Gailo Chops way but keep an eye on Lord Fandango at good odds . Maybe even take a quinella with him and the other two. 

Best at Caulfield  Long Leaf
Best Value Amanito
Feeling Horse Wheal Leisure

 Yarra Valley
Race 1 Eight Times a Lady a Hard Spun filly up to the perfect distance.
Race 4 Horses 5 and 7 look strong chances Annanicolesnitz by Snitzel and Effectuate by Reward For Effort
Race 5 Good place bet Waterford Sound ridden by Jarrod Fry.
Race 7 The Written Tycoon, Smooth Hussler with Lord Mornington into the places.  







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